Profit From The Anglo-Welsh Rugby Cup With This Tip
Friday 23rd October 2009
It’s my favourite rugby tournament...
But not so much the sporting aspect of an event, it’s the prospect of landing a nice bet.
It’s true that the Anglo-Welsh Cup (or EDF Energy Cup) doesn’t have the glamour and razzamatazz of the Heineken Cup, which features top teams from across Europe...
And it doesn’t always get the attention it deserves from sports writers...
But it surely gets plenty of attention from sports bettors looking for a nice wallet-filler.
As the name implies, the Anglo-Welsh is a tournament for sides from England and Wales, and it’s always a hard fought affair.
The Welsh boys like nothing better than beating the English teams.
And quite often the Welsh do pull off a win...
The Cardiff Blues won the final last year, beating Gloucester 50-12. And the year before Ospreys beat the Leicester Tigers 23-6.
Thing is...
I don’t think we’ll see a Welsh team win this year.
It’s nothing to do with playing ability. Instead it has all to do with the rugby international schedule - which is just about to go into overdrive.
You see, the Anglo-Welsh Cup is being played at just the wrong moment for the Welsh...
This month sees a whole string of international games, which will take all the top players in the sport away from their clubs - and these internationals will leave the Welsh sides looking threadbare of star talent.
It’s true that English teams will lose top players too - but the English internationals are drawn from a wider spectrum of sides.
The Anglo-Welsh then has a break before Christmas. And when it returns we’re heading into Six Nations territory.
What happens then?
Of course, all the leading Welsh teams will lose their star players all over again...
For about 7 weeks!
I reckon that’s just too much for the teams from Wales to overcome. So my money this year will be on one of the English sides to pick up the Cup.
Leaving the Welsh lads out of it, the bookies make Leicester their favourite English side... followed by Bath, Wasps and Gloucester.
I’m going to put a line through those three straight away - because Leicester, Bath and Gloucester are likely to be in much the same boat as the leading Welsh sides... having to give up too many good players to international duty.
It’s the sides just a bit out of the limelight that could do the trick for us in this competition - and at very tasty prices too.
Next up of the English teams in the bookies lists is London Irish.
They’ve been bowling along fine in the early days of the Guinness Premiership league, but I have a few niggling doubts about them. For one thing, one of their early wins was against Leeds - a team that looks doomed for relegation already.
More worryingly, the Irish only managed to beat the ineffective Sale 11-8. I would have liked to see a bit more on the scoreboard than that.
And then we come to the bookies’ sixth choice English side... the Northampton Saints.
That’s the team for me.
While most other teams in the Guinness Premiership were losing players in the off-season to big money deals in France, Northampton actually managed to strengthen their squad with some astute picks from the southern hemisphere.
The new boys weren’t comfortable in their first Guinness fixture, but Northampton still managed to win. Then in their second game they suffered a narrow 3-point loss, largely caused by that continuing bedding-in process with the new guys.
But since then Saints have looked more and more comfortable with each other and their 27-14 away win at Gloucester was a useful performance.
I think that Northampton are going to be in their glory during the two big blocks of international fixtures, now and after Christmas. They’ll have settled, largely unchanged side. While other teams will be trying to fill the holes left by their absent stars.
Bookmakers are offering Northampton at prices up to 14/1 to win the Anglo-Welsh Cup and that to me looks great value.
We can back them ‘each way’ and be on a winner at better than 4/1 even if they are beaten in the final.
My tip then...
Back Northampton ‘each way’ to win the EDF Energy Cup (Anglo-Welsh Cup.)
Best Wishes,
Harrison Moran
But not so much the sporting aspect of an event, it’s the prospect of landing a nice bet.
It’s true that the Anglo-Welsh Cup (or EDF Energy Cup) doesn’t have the glamour and razzamatazz of the Heineken Cup, which features top teams from across Europe...
And it doesn’t always get the attention it deserves from sports writers...
But it surely gets plenty of attention from sports bettors looking for a nice wallet-filler.
As the name implies, the Anglo-Welsh is a tournament for sides from England and Wales, and it’s always a hard fought affair.
The Welsh boys like nothing better than beating the English teams.
And quite often the Welsh do pull off a win...
The Cardiff Blues won the final last year, beating Gloucester 50-12. And the year before Ospreys beat the Leicester Tigers 23-6.
Thing is...
I don’t think we’ll see a Welsh team win this year.
It’s nothing to do with playing ability. Instead it has all to do with the rugby international schedule - which is just about to go into overdrive.
You see, the Anglo-Welsh Cup is being played at just the wrong moment for the Welsh...
This month sees a whole string of international games, which will take all the top players in the sport away from their clubs - and these internationals will leave the Welsh sides looking threadbare of star talent.
It’s true that English teams will lose top players too - but the English internationals are drawn from a wider spectrum of sides.
The Anglo-Welsh then has a break before Christmas. And when it returns we’re heading into Six Nations territory.
What happens then?
Of course, all the leading Welsh teams will lose their star players all over again...
For about 7 weeks!
I reckon that’s just too much for the teams from Wales to overcome. So my money this year will be on one of the English sides to pick up the Cup.
Leaving the Welsh lads out of it, the bookies make Leicester their favourite English side... followed by Bath, Wasps and Gloucester.
I’m going to put a line through those three straight away - because Leicester, Bath and Gloucester are likely to be in much the same boat as the leading Welsh sides... having to give up too many good players to international duty.
It’s the sides just a bit out of the limelight that could do the trick for us in this competition - and at very tasty prices too.
Next up of the English teams in the bookies lists is London Irish.
They’ve been bowling along fine in the early days of the Guinness Premiership league, but I have a few niggling doubts about them. For one thing, one of their early wins was against Leeds - a team that looks doomed for relegation already.
More worryingly, the Irish only managed to beat the ineffective Sale 11-8. I would have liked to see a bit more on the scoreboard than that.
And then we come to the bookies’ sixth choice English side... the Northampton Saints.
That’s the team for me.
While most other teams in the Guinness Premiership were losing players in the off-season to big money deals in France, Northampton actually managed to strengthen their squad with some astute picks from the southern hemisphere.
The new boys weren’t comfortable in their first Guinness fixture, but Northampton still managed to win. Then in their second game they suffered a narrow 3-point loss, largely caused by that continuing bedding-in process with the new guys.
But since then Saints have looked more and more comfortable with each other and their 27-14 away win at Gloucester was a useful performance.
I think that Northampton are going to be in their glory during the two big blocks of international fixtures, now and after Christmas. They’ll have settled, largely unchanged side. While other teams will be trying to fill the holes left by their absent stars.
Bookmakers are offering Northampton at prices up to 14/1 to win the Anglo-Welsh Cup and that to me looks great value.
We can back them ‘each way’ and be on a winner at better than 4/1 even if they are beaten in the final.
My tip then...
Back Northampton ‘each way’ to win the EDF Energy Cup (Anglo-Welsh Cup.)
Best Wishes,
Harrison Moran
This article was originally published in Shortcut Bulletin.
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